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Posts Tagged ‘new home sales’

The Obama Stock market is soaring on new home sales’ 4.7 Percent increase in January, but if you are experienced in how to read economic reports in detail, in reality the sales report is terrible. Consider the following:

Government statisticians have low confidence in the monthly sales report, which is subject to sizable revisions as well as large sampling and other statistical errors.

The median sales price fell to $200,900, down a record 18.1% compared with February 2008. This is the lowest median price since December 2003.

 Inventories of unsold homes  in February represent a 12.2 month supply at the current sales pace, another record on the wrong side.

The government revised January’s sales pace for new homes to 322,000 units, the record low for the series that started in 1963.

GOT THAT? JANUARY SALES ARE THE LOWEST SINCE 1963!

The February level is the second lowest level on record.

Wall Street has to be insane to consider these numbers encouraging.

January and February are the two lowest sales levels in history, and the difference between the two months is sampling error.

But wait, it gets even worse: The figures may overstate the level of sales, because they count canceled sales contracts, which have jumped in the past year.

Anyone who buys stocks based on this report deserves to get the Obama Rate of Return, ZerObama.

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